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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+3.28vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+4.78vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.88+2.39vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+4.30vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-1.47vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.62-2.47vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.38vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.91vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.18-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.55-4.77vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.30-4.90vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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8.3Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.53Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.53Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.62Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.09The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.69Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.23University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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7.1Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 16.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 22.9% | 21.7% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 22.9% | 21.7% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.