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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.65vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.55+3.32vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.41+4.87vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31-0.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+0.78vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.62-3.35vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.88-3.74vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78-4.59vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18-2.83vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-3.62vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.30-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.77Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.32University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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8.87Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.27North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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3.65Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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7.16The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.41Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.97Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 21.3% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 16.5% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 21.3% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.