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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.55+5.37vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.30+4.98vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.31+1.24vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62-0.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-1.53vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.88-1.63vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.68vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.18-1.78vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-5.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-5.12vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.20-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.98Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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4.24North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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8.68Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.11Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.57Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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7.31The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Justin | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 22.9% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 22.9% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.