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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.71vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+5.21vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+0.54vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.30+3.03vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-1.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+0.75vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.18+0.15vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.88-4.84vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.31-6.78vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.55-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.21The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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7.03Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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8.29Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.66Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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4.22North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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8.98Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.3University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 23.8% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 23.8% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.