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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.61vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+4.73vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.18+5.27vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+1.26vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-0.29vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.62-4.39vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.31-4.77vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-3.18vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.27vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-3.66vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.20-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.73Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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5.62Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.82Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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8.73Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.34Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.24The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 20.7% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.7% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 18.2% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.