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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+3.34vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.30+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.88+2.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62-0.49vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.18+1.31vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-2.29vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.25vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-5.44vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.55-5.60vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.9Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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3.51Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.51Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.83Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.06The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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8.75Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.56Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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8.27Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 12.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 21.7% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 21.7% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.