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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+2.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+3.84vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62-0.46vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.88-0.65vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.62-3.46vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.55-2.87vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-3.35vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-3.60vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.30-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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7.11The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.13University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.65Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.74Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.99Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.0% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.7% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.7% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.