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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+5.86vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.55+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+1.37vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+1.77vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.31-1.74vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.48vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.73vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.62-5.44vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-3.16vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-3.61vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.20-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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3.56Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.32University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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6.77Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.26North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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5.52Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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8.73Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.56Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.84Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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8.12Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.27The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Ozaki | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.8% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 16.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.8% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.