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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.01+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida-0.72+4.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51-0.89vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.51-1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.37+0.58vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-1.13vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.13-1.95vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.08-3.12vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.64+1.29vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-2.15-0.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-4.59vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-2.07-2.50vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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2.11Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.11Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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5.58University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.88Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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9.54Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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9.5The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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8.6Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KA Hamner | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.2% | 25.6% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.2% | 25.6% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 8.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 44.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 23.8% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.