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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+7.01vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+8.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.74vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.27vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+4.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.24+5.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+2.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09+0.08vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-0.15vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-1.59vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-5.23vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-2.35vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-4.83vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-8.53vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.78-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.92-7.01vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.48-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University4.170.0%1st Place
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11.28College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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10.36Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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12.62Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy4.090.0%1st Place
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9.85Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.17Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| John Stokes | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 19.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Clark Hayes | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.