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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.03+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.66+0.76vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.43+0.79vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.99-0.79vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.63-2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Purdue University-1.0316.6%1st Place
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2.76University of Chicago-0.6624.6%1st Place
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3.79Marquette University-1.4311.8%1st Place
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3.21Purdue University-0.9917.8%1st Place
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2.68Marquette University-0.6326.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Notre Dame-2.703.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathis Destouches | 16.6% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 7.2% |
| Natalie Manley | 24.6% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| John Riordan | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 28.1% | 13.4% |
| Silas Hokanson | 17.8% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 6.7% |
| Eva Paschke | 26.1% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Andoni Christou | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.