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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+0.14vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.01+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.37+1.62vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.72+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-2.64+3.35vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-3.21vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-2.15+0.50vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.13-5.06vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-2.07-1.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-5.44vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.73Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.99Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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4.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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9.5Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.94North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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9.31The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.61Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 44.9% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.9% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 8.8% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 7.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.