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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.01+2.78vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.13+2.09vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.04+0.84vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-2.07+4.43vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.37-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.51-5.86vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-2.15+0.44vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.08-5.21vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-4.58vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.64-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.78Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.84Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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9.43The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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9.44Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.79Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.72Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 43.7% | 25.9% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 8.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 43.7% | 25.9% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 43.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.