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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.37+2.61vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.01+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.72+1.47vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-1.09vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-2.15+2.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.59vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08-4.09vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.13-5.12vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-2.07-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.64-1.55vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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5.61University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.76Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.91Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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9.56Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.91Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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9.3The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.61Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 42.8% | 26.9% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 42.8% | 26.9% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 11.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 26.5% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.