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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology-0.04+3.92vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.01+2.71vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-2.15+6.51vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.51-1.91vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-2.91vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.72+0.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.53vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.13-3.03vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08-4.09vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.64+0.38vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-2.07-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.37-6.27vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.71Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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9.51Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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2.09Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.09Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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6.41University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.91Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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9.32The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.57Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.8% | 26.5% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.8% | 26.5% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.