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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.15vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.01+2.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.72+3.44vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.04+0.85vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-2.85vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.13-0.95vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.53vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-2.15+1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.64+1.28vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-2.07-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.37-5.41vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.25vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.08-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.7Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.85Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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2.15Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.4Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.75Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.96Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 42.9% | 26.2% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 42.9% | 26.2% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.