← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami-0.37+3.58vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.01+1.75vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology-0.04+0.82vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.72+1.46vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.13-0.95vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-0.08-2.12vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.61vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.51-6.86vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College-2.15-0.48vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.49vs Predicted
-
12The Citadel-2.07-2.50vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-2.64-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
-
5.58University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.75Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
-
4.82Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
-
6.46University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.05North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.88Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
-
2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
-
9.52Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
-
8.51Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.5The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.39University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 42.9% | 26.6% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 42.9% | 26.6% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 23.6% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 21.0% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 23.3% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.