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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.15vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.08+2.95vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51-0.85vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.01+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.37+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.72+0.41vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.13-1.91vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.45vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-4.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-3.63vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-2.07-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.64-1.56vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-2.15-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.95Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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2.15Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.75Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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6.41University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.45Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.8Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.32The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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9.61Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 42.4% | 27.3% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 42.4% | 27.3% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 11.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 25.7% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.