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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami-0.37+4.66vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+0.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51-0.86vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.08+0.95vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-0.18vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.13-0.94vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.50vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.01-3.34vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.66-0.54vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-2.07-0.64vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.72-5.46vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.64-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.95Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.82Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.06North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.66Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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8.46Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.36The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.54University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hibben | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.0% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 44.0% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 22.8% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 24.7% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.