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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+0.14vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.37+1.57vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.13+0.06vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.01-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.72-0.56vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-3.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-2.60vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-2.07-0.64vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.52vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.64-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.9Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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5.06North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.78Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.78Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.36The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.48Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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8.7Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 43.2% | 26.8% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 43.2% | 26.8% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 7.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 25.4% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.