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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.12vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+0.12vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.01+1.72vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.72+1.44vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.37-1.35vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.08-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.64+1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-3.69vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.46vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-2.07-2.47vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-2.15-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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2.12Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.72Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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5.04North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.92Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.87Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.54Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.53The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.6Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 43.9% | 26.4% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 43.9% | 26.4% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 8.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 25.1% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.