Race 1B

south-series-two

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Madeleine Harvey 5.4% 6.4% 9.4% 13.0% 13.6% 16.2% 17.3% 13.2% 5.0% 0.5%
Leah Hughes 7.2% 10.0% 13.6% 17.1% 16.5% 15.8% 10.5% 7.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Thomas Barrows 47.3% 27.3% 15.6% 6.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 8.8% 11.9% 17.3% 18.9% 17.8% 11.7% 9.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Ambrose Gosling 21.4% 27.2% 23.9% 14.1% 6.6% 4.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Keller 2.8% 5.1% 4.9% 8.7% 10.3% 15.0% 16.1% 25.6% 10.5% 1.0%
Chris Grabe 2.1% 3.5% 5.7% 8.5% 11.3% 15.5% 19.6% 22.5% 9.7% 1.6%
Nate Olsen 0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 6.8% 10.4% 52.5% 19.2%
Sean Andrew 4.4% 7.4% 8.5% 10.5% 17.7% 15.7% 17.9% 13.1% 4.4% 0.4%
Gabriel Elder 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 3.4% 15.6% 76.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.