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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+7.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+6.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+7.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+6.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+4.77vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.09+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-3.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22+1.68vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.81-1.94vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.02-5.07vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.71-4.58vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-7.39vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-7.93vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-3.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.66-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Stanford University3.3021.5%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
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9.31Brown University1.994.9%1st Place
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11.05Harvard University2.103.4%1st Place
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11.56Bowdoin College1.513.5%1st Place
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10.77University of South Florida1.602.6%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania1.776.2%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.5510.8%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University1.221.5%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston1.813.9%1st Place
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7.93Tulane University2.027.4%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College1.714.5%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University2.385.9%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University2.206.1%1st Place
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13.15George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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13.78Tufts University0.661.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.5% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Green | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.