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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.66+1.76vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.03+1.30vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63-0.39vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.43-0.14vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.99-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76University of Chicago-0.6624.6%1st Place
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3.3Purdue University-1.0316.4%1st Place
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2.61Marquette University-0.6329.4%1st Place
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3.86Marquette University-1.439.7%1st Place
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3.25Purdue University-0.9917.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Notre Dame-2.702.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Manley | 24.6% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 16.4% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 7.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 29.4% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| John Riordan | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 28.4% | 14.2% |
| Silas Hokanson | 17.2% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 6.8% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.