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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+6.98vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+7.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+2.77vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.48+3.61vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+2.08vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-3.21vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-1.62vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.24+0.99vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-2.83vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-4.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.69-5.13vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University4.74-10.46vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.98-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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5.73Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.61University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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11.08College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.38Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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12.99Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.17Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.75Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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6.54Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.39Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| John Stokes | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Megan Magill | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% |
| Mac Mace | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 22.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
| David Hernandez | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.