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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.08+2.94vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.01+1.74vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+1.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-2.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.72+0.45vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-2.16vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.07+1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.37-3.46vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.64+0.37vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-5.41vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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4.94Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.74Rollins College0.010.1%1st Place
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5.06North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.14Jacksonville University1.510.4%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.84Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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9.26The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Miami-0.370.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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9.47Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.61Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 42.6% | 26.7% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 8.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 42.6% | 26.7% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| catherine brennan | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 22.3% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 25.1% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.