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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+3.59vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+3.29vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40+5.83vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.70+1.65vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.41vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.02+1.61vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.09+0.79vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.09-0.21vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.24-0.76vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.26-1.53vs Predicted
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11Penn State Behrend0.24-4.08vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.20vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.52-3.77vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.35-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.29Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.83William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.65Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.59Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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7.61Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.79Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.79Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.24Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.47Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.92Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.23Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.97Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 17.7% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.