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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+3.57vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+3.29vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.70+2.64vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.09+3.95vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.26+3.22vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.35-2.12vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-2.36vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.09-0.05vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-0.02-1.32vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.40-1.16vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.24-2.76vs Predicted
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12Penn State Behrend0.24-5.31vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.52-3.75vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.29Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.64Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.95Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.22Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.88Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.64Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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7.95Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.68Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.84William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.24Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.69Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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9.25Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 13.6% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 11.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 19.7% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.