Race 3A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ossian Kamal 9.2% 11.5% 11.2% 9.3% 9.9% 10.3% 10.6% 7.8% 7.4% 5.7% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 14.4% 13.0% 14.0% 14.1% 10.3% 9.3% 6.7% 7.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 10.0% 10.9% 11.6% 10.6% 11.1% 9.5% 10.4% 9.3% 5.6% 5.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 10.2% 9.7% 12.9% 11.5% 10.6% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 20.4% 17.1% 14.3% 11.1% 12.3% 8.8% 7.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 7.6% 8.7% 10.6% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 6.8% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 16.2% 12.2% 11.8% 14.5% 11.1% 9.2% 8.2% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 7.6% 8.7% 10.6% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 6.8% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.4% 5.0% 6.3% 6.5% 8.0% 12.6% 17.2% 27.1% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 3.6% 4.7% 4.7% 4.1% 5.1% 7.8% 6.3% 9.8% 7.9% 11.9% 11.2% 11.8% 11.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 6.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 11.4% 13.7% 14.8% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 6.5% 7.2% 9.1% 8.4% 9.5% 9.4% 10.7% 9.3% 7.7% 5.5% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 5.5% 6.4% 5.6% 10.0% 7.1% 9.1% 7.7% 7.6% 11.5% 10.4% 8.9% 5.7% 4.5% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.4% 5.5% 3.5% 6.6% 7.1% 9.8% 9.6% 12.0% 16.8% 17.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.