Race 5A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ossian Kamal 9.9% 10.5% 11.7% 8.6% 11.2% 10.0% 10.4% 8.8% 6.6% 6.2% 2.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 13.6% 14.9% 13.1% 14.1% 11.0% 8.7% 8.1% 6.7% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 4.2% 4.3% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.0% 9.0% 10.8% 10.8% 9.5% 9.1% 5.3% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 19.6% 17.7% 14.0% 12.8% 11.1% 8.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 7.6% 6.9% 7.5% 8.5% 7.6% 9.2% 8.3% 9.5% 11.6% 8.1% 7.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 4.8% 4.6% 6.3% 5.2% 6.3% 8.3% 8.6% 10.6% 8.6% 9.2% 12.7% 8.9% 5.9% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 13.7% 9.8% 10.6% 12.5% 9.5% 10.6% 8.2% 8.8% 7.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 4.8% 4.6% 6.3% 5.2% 6.3% 8.3% 8.6% 10.6% 8.6% 9.2% 12.7% 8.9% 5.9% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 13.4% 15.1% 12.8% 11.8% 12.6% 9.7% 9.3% 6.0% 4.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Julia Hudson 1.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.6% 4.1% 3.4% 4.4% 5.8% 7.1% 10.4% 10.8% 18.3% 24.9% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.4% 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 5.7% 5.2% 7.8% 9.9% 12.5% 16.2% 25.8% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.1% 2.7% 3.3% 4.4% 6.3% 5.5% 6.8% 8.2% 8.8% 11.3% 13.1% 12.9% 13.6% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 3.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 4.9% 7.2% 6.0% 8.2% 8.1% 12.7% 14.0% 11.9% 9.7% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 5.4% 7.3% 7.3% 8.6% 11.1% 11.1% 10.6% 11.5% 10.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.