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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+3.56vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.35+1.87vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.62vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.24+2.88vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.70+0.44vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.09+1.75vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.02+0.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.80vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.81-3.74vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.26-1.71vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.09-3.25vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.24-3.99vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81-3.17vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.52-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.87Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.62Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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6.88Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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5.44Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.75Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.53Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.26Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.29Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.75Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.01Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.83William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.17Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 14.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 18.8% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 13.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.