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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+3.58vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+2.53vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+2.32vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.70+1.53vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.35-1.16vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24+2.11vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend0.24-0.27vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.09-0.27vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-0.02-1.32vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.26-1.78vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.09-3.27vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.33vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.52-3.85vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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4.53Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.32Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.53Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.84Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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8.11Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.73Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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7.73Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.68Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.22Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.73Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.15Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.9William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 19.4% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.