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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.35+2.91vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+2.53vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.62vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.09+3.85vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.70+0.47vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.09+1.85vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.02+0.55vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81-2.84vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.26-0.79vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.13vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.52-2.04vs Predicted
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12Penn State Behrend0.24-5.42vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.24-4.61vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.53Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.62Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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7.85Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.47Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.85Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.55Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.16Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.21Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.96Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.58Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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8.39Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.9William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Sullivan | 19.5% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 15.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.