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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.70+4.53vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+3.30vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.64vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.35-0.14vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.24+3.09vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.81+3.70vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-2.51vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.26+0.25vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.09-1.11vs Predicted
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10Penn State Behrend0.24-3.24vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.52-2.22vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.01vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College-0.02-5.27vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.09-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.3Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.64Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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3.86Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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8.09Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.7William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.49Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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8.25Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.89Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.76Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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8.78Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.73Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.89Virginia Tech-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossian Kamal | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 19.5% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 16.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.