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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.41+5.16vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+4.89vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.02+1.55vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.40-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.79-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+4.49vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.29+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.85+2.55vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.15-1.03vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.55vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.64vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.48vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.52-3.36vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.88-3.23vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.67-5.44vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.75-2.46vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Jacksonville University1.7020.9%1st Place
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7.16University of Texas0.415.9%1st Place
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7.89The Citadel0.195.5%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.0210.3%1st Place
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4.1North Carolina State University1.4017.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Virginia0.7911.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.832.2%1st Place
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8.36Indiana University0.295.3%1st Place
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11.55University of Maryland-0.851.9%1st Place
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8.97University of Florida-0.153.9%1st Place
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12.55Embry-Riddle University-1.831.7%1st Place
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11.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.8%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.673.1%1st Place
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10.64Christopher Newport University-0.522.6%1st Place
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11.77Clemson University-0.882.2%1st Place
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10.56William and Mary-0.672.6%1st Place
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14.54University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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14.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 20.9% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 17.0% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Madeline Washburn | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| William Mullray | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 30.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.