← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.92+3.97vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.75vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami3.69+6.80vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University4.17+3.75vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.20vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.48+4.74vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.64+3.05vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.92+0.90vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University4.71-3.17vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University4.74-4.37vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.80-1.20vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.70-2.26vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University4.01-4.79vs Predicted
-
15Brown University4.30-6.75vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University4.05-6.59vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College3.24-4.15vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College3.78-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
5.97Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
10.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
-
8.75Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
9.2U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
11.74University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
-
11.05College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
6.63Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
10.8Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
-
10.74Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
9.21Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.25Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
9.41Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
-
12.85Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
10.38Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Megan Magill | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| David Hernandez | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% |
| John Stokes | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 22.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.