Race 10A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ossian Kamal 10.0% 9.8% 11.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.9% 9.9% 8.9% 7.4% 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 18.4% 18.5% 15.7% 12.1% 11.4% 7.8% 6.5% 4.9% 2.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 13.9% 14.8% 12.0% 11.6% 12.1% 10.7% 9.2% 5.6% 5.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 3.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 7.7% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 9.1% 10.8% 11.1% 9.2% 7.3% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 5.3% 7.6% 10.2% 10.6% 17.4% 25.9% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 12.4% 11.0% 11.2% 11.3% 11.4% 10.4% 8.8% 7.5% 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 15.8% 14.0% 12.8% 13.1% 10.2% 8.0% 10.0% 6.4% 3.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Hudson 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.6% 5.3% 5.7% 8.5% 9.3% 13.2% 16.7% 23.7% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 3.8% 6.3% 6.1% 6.6% 9.9% 9.5% 11.5% 11.4% 12.0% 10.1% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.1% 3.8% 3.4% 4.2% 3.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.2% 8.4% 10.1% 12.1% 15.6% 14.6% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 4.5% 3.1% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 8.3% 8.3% 8.5% 10.9% 9.6% 11.1% 10.4% 7.5% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 5.7% 6.5% 5.8% 9.2% 7.8% 8.6% 7.5% 10.5% 11.0% 9.4% 9.2% 5.3% 3.5% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 4.2% 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 6.4% 8.4% 8.6% 9.5% 10.5% 10.2% 11.1% 8.9% 5.8% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 3.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 7.7% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 9.1% 10.8% 11.1% 9.2% 7.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.