Race 11A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stefano Palamara 11.2% 10.9% 11.2% 11.3% 11.0% 10.3% 9.4% 8.0% 7.0% 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 7.3% 6.4% 6.3% 9.0% 10.5% 11.1% 11.4% 12.5% 8.5% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 18.5% 17.5% 14.4% 14.1% 10.9% 7.7% 6.9% 5.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 14.0% 13.6% 14.2% 12.9% 11.3% 9.0% 7.6% 7.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.5% 3.2% 4.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.3% 7.6% 9.1% 10.8% 12.6% 15.1% 13.5% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 14.5% 15.4% 14.6% 11.9% 11.5% 8.7% 6.6% 6.8% 4.4% 2.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 11.5% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 9.9% 10.8% 10.4% 7.7% 7.6% 5.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 4.4% 6.6% 6.1% 8.0% 8.7% 10.6% 10.8% 12.5% 11.4% 8.1% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 6.7% 5.9% 6.4% 8.4% 7.8% 9.4% 8.8% 10.1% 10.2% 10.0% 7.2% 5.9% 3.2% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 4.9% 6.4% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 10.0% 8.4% 7.8% 9.8% 11.5% 9.8% 7.3% 6.8% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 9.4% 10.3% 9.5% 10.3% 9.6% 8.3% 5.6% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.0% 3.7% 6.0% 4.8% 7.6% 8.1% 12.9% 17.7% 27.0% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 9.4% 10.3% 9.5% 10.3% 9.6% 8.3% 5.6% 0.0%
Julia Hudson 2.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.4% 4.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 9.8% 12.1% 17.3% 25.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.