Race 12A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Bendura 16.9% 16.0% 15.5% 13.4% 11.4% 9.7% 6.1% 5.0% 2.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 16.6% 17.8% 14.6% 13.4% 11.1% 8.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 13.0% 11.5% 13.3% 11.6% 9.4% 11.3% 10.2% 7.4% 6.9% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 13.2% 13.8% 13.3% 13.5% 11.3% 9.9% 7.6% 7.4% 4.8% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 5.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 7.5% 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 11.5% 10.0% 6.7% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 5.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 7.5% 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 11.5% 10.0% 6.7% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.9% 3.4% 4.8% 5.7% 5.1% 6.4% 7.6% 8.6% 11.1% 11.5% 16.5% 15.4% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.9% 3.7% 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 10.4% 11.6% 17.1% 24.9% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 9.0% 8.4% 9.4% 7.8% 10.6% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 4.8% 3.2% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 4.4% 4.2% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 10.7% 10.4% 11.7% 9.3% 8.6% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 6.8% 6.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 10.0% 10.4% 10.6% 9.6% 8.9% 5.1% 0.0%
Julia Hudson 2.6% 3.0% 1.9% 3.4% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 8.3% 9.7% 12.4% 16.3% 26.4% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 5.0% 5.4% 4.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.5% 8.7% 10.0% 11.7% 12.3% 12.3% 8.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.