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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.53vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.33vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.38+4.57vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03+2.60vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18+0.93vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18-0.07vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.21-1.15vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.13-1.91vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.62vs Predicted
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10Penn State Behrend-1.07-0.66vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-2.74vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.58-4.17vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.44-0.41vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.34-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.33Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.57Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.6Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.93Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.93Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.85Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.09Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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8.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.34Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.83William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.59Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.68Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 35.3% | 24.8% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 13.7% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 27.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 86.5% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.