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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+3.36vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.59vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.49vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03+2.58vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.21+0.87vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18-0.01vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-1.01vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.58-0.07vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.75vs Predicted
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10Penn State Behrend-1.07-0.69vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.13-4.87vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.38-4.65vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.45vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.59Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.51Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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6.58Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.87Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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7.93William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.25Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.31Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.13Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.35Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.61Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 13.2% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 37.0% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 28.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 87.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.