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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+3.35vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.51vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.34+2.61vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18+2.02vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18+1.02vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.13+0.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.58+0.97vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.21-2.15vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.79vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.38-2.36vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.03-4.49vs Predicted
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12Penn State Behrend-1.07-2.87vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.49vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.51Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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5.61Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.02Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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6.02Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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6.07Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.97William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.85Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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8.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.64Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.51Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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9.13Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.61Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 36.8% | 25.1% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 25.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 87.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.