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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+4.57vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+5.36vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+0.33vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34+0.47vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-1.07+3.22vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.21-1.16vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.13-1.93vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.38-1.37vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.18-4.06vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.18-5.06vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.77vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.58-4.81vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.57Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.36Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.33Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.47Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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9.22Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.84Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.07Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.63Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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8.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.19William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.61Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 34.4% | 26.0% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 26.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 87.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.