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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.29vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+3.08vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34+1.62vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.13+1.04vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.38+0.42vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.21-2.11vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.62vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.18-3.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.67vs Predicted
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12Penn State Behrend-1.07-2.89vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.58-4.78vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.29Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.08Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.62Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.04Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.48Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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7.42Washington College-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.89Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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8.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.08Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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8.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.11Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.22William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.6Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 35.8% | 23.6% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 24.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 87.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.