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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.19+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.02+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.41+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.79+1.51vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70-1.32vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.40-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+4.26vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.15-0.28vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.61vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.88+0.72vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.54vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.46vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.67-3.23vs Predicted
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15Indiana University0.29-6.73vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.85-4.47vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.16vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-1.75-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92The Citadel0.195.4%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida1.029.7%1st Place
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7.1University of Texas0.416.3%1st Place
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5.51University of Virginia0.7910.8%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University1.7020.6%1st Place
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4.11North Carolina State University1.4018.9%1st Place
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11.26University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.832.2%1st Place
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10.65Christopher Newport University-0.522.5%1st Place
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8.72University of Florida-0.154.3%1st Place
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10.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.672.6%1st Place
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11.72Clemson University-0.881.6%1st Place
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11.46Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.1%1st Place
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12.54Embry-Riddle University-1.831.8%1st Place
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10.77William and Mary-0.672.5%1st Place
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8.27Indiana University0.295.3%1st Place
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11.53University of Maryland-0.851.8%1st Place
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14.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
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14.58University of North Carolina-1.750.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Montague | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 20.6% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 18.9% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Madeline Washburn | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| William Mullray | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 33.4% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.