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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+4.59vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.35vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.48vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18+2.04vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18+1.04vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.21-0.16vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03-0.48vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.13-1.91vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.71vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.38-2.34vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.60vs Predicted
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12Penn State Behrend-1.07-2.83vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.58-4.72vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.80-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.35Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.52Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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6.04Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.84Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.52Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.09Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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8.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.66Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.17Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.28William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.24Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 36.3% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 76.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.