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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.48vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+4.45vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.21+2.84vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.36+3.40vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-1.07+4.09vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.36+1.40vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.85-2.87vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.13-2.01vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.75vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.34-4.45vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.38-3.59vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.58-4.25vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.55vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.80-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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6.45Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.84Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.4Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.09Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.4Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.13Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.99Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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8.25Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.55Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.41Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.75William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.23Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 36.0% | 25.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.8% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 75.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.