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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.03+5.50vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.50vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.55vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+0.22vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58+2.85vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.13-0.03vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-1.07+2.08vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+0.21vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.21-3.06vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.36-3.85vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.36-4.85vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.51vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.80-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.5Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.45Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.22Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.85William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.97Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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9.08Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.94Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.42Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.15Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.15Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.22Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Whitman | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 36.9% | 25.9% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 76.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.