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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.30vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.35+5.16vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03+3.20vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.13+1.73vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.21+0.48vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.36+1.05vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.86vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.04vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.36-1.95vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.58-2.17vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.91vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.38-5.04vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.80-0.83vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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7.16Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.2Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.73Drexel University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.48Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.05Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.86Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.05Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.83William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.96Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.17Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
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5.22Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 40.5% | 25.3% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 75.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 8.0% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.