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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.14vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+3.64vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.35+3.48vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.36+2.51vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.38+1.56vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.36+0.51vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.29vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.85vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.58-2.02vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.21-5.14vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.37-6.35vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.45vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.80-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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5.64Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.48Princeton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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6.51Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.56Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.51Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.29Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.98William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.86Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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4.65Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.19Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 43.9% | 26.1% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 10.6% | 74.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.