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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.79+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.41+4.05vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.40-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02+0.62vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+1.77vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+4.31vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.58vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.15+0.03vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.67+0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.85+0.42vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.88-0.21vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.54vs Predicted
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14Indiana University0.29-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-3.48vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.75-2.30vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Jacksonville University1.7021.9%1st Place
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5.58University of Virginia0.7910.9%1st Place
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7.05University of Texas0.416.3%1st Place
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3.95North Carolina State University1.4019.4%1st Place
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5.62University of South Florida1.0210.0%1st Place
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7.77The Citadel0.195.9%1st Place
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11.31Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.1%1st Place
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10.58Christopher Newport University-0.522.6%1st Place
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9.03University of Florida-0.153.5%1st Place
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10.87William and Mary-0.672.3%1st Place
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11.42University of Maryland-0.852.1%1st Place
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11.79Clemson University-0.881.8%1st Place
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10.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.672.9%1st Place
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8.43Indiana University0.295.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.831.0%1st Place
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12.66Embry-Riddle University-1.831.0%1st Place
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14.7University of North Carolina-1.750.7%1st Place
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14.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 21.9% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Mullray | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Washburn | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Powell | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.4% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 30.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.