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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+4.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+9.36vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+6.48vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.69+6.64vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+1.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+2.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01+1.41vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78+1.36vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.33-1.72vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-0.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.50-4.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.72vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.92-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-3.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-3.80vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-6.52vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.24-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.36College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.48Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy4.090.0%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.5Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.61University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.2Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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12.49Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mac Mace | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| David Hernandez | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Clark Hayes | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Tedd Himler | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| Will Stocke | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
| William Hutchings | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.9% |
| Megan Magill | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.