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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+5.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.31+3.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+2.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.76+3.85vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.39+0.91vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10-0.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.78-0.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-3.14vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-2.08vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.46+1.89vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-5.65vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.34-1.54vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.71Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.92Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.89Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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11.46Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 16.4% | 64.3% |
| Jed Bell | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Cabot | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 35.3% | 23.5% |
| Porter Bell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.