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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+4.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+4.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+2.78vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+1.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+1.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31+0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+1.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-1.34vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12-2.35vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78-2.15vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-3.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.34-0.40vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.76-5.35vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.46-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.85Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.89Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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12.81Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Sih | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Will Priebe | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Cabot | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 32.0% | 26.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Chase O'Malley | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 18.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.