Race 8A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Elliott 7.5% 8.3% 8.9% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.8% 8.1% 8.3% 7.3% 7.2% 6.9% 2.8% 1.1%
Tyler Nash 9.0% 10.3% 6.5% 7.4% 9.3% 8.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.6% 7.7% 7.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Oliver Stokke 10.6% 10.9% 9.6% 9.1% 10.7% 8.7% 7.4% 8.7% 6.1% 6.7% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.2% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 10.9% 11.1% 6.9% 1.8%
Michael Kirkman 10.1% 12.3% 12.5% 9.4% 10.9% 9.4% 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 6.3% 3.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Jed Bell 9.9% 7.1% 7.7% 9.6% 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 6.8% 8.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Porter Bell 5.2% 7.0% 4.8% 6.0% 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 7.9% 9.4% 9.4% 13.5% 8.0% 2.8%
Matthew Cabot 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 4.1% 2.5% 4.8% 6.1% 9.4% 33.3% 25.9%
Beckett Kumler 6.4% 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 4.2% 7.3% 8.8% 9.1% 9.0% 8.9% 11.6% 9.8% 6.3% 1.8%
Nathan Sih 10.6% 9.2% 10.4% 10.6% 9.8% 8.5% 7.2% 8.0% 8.6% 5.9% 6.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Thomas Styron 10.1% 8.4% 10.3% 9.7% 7.2% 9.6% 8.3% 8.9% 6.6% 8.0% 5.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Nils Tullberg 5.2% 5.1% 6.4% 5.6% 8.0% 6.8% 6.8% 8.3% 9.4% 7.8% 9.1% 11.2% 8.7% 1.6%
Will Priebe 8.2% 9.0% 8.0% 7.3% 8.5% 8.1% 9.9% 7.4% 6.8% 9.8% 6.8% 6.1% 3.3% 0.8%
Chase O'Malley 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 2.6% 1.7% 2.7% 6.0% 18.7% 61.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.